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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

レフスキソフィア vs ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利70%
引き分け19%
アウェイ勝利11%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利70% selection probability
Projected score2–1レフスキソフィアロコモティフ・プロヴディフ
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
70% / 19% / 11%試合結果ホーム勝利70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ win (11%)ダブルチャンス1X89%1.12
オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%Goals 2.5アンダー57%1.75
はい 35% · いいえ 65%両チーム得点いいえ65%1.54
2.41 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapレフスキソフィア winDifference+0.2 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
レフスキソフィア win70%1.431.3669.8%+0.2 pp
引き分け19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp
ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ win11%9.098.5011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レフスキソフィア1.89

ホーム share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%

ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ0.52

アウェイ share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 35% · いいえ 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レフスキソフィア

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
勝ち probability excluding draw
11%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
レフスキソフィアロコモティフ・プロヴディフ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レフスキソフィア signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

レフスキソフィア vs ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レフスキソフィア 勝ち 70%,引き分け 19%,ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ 勝ち 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · オーバー 2.5 43% · Current selection アンダー