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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Płowdiw

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy70%
Remis19%
Wygrana gości11%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy70% selection probability
Projected score2–1Levski SofiaLokomotiv Płowdiw
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej57% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
70% / 19% / 11%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Płowdiw win (11%)Podwójna szansa1X89%1.12
Powyżej 43% · Poniżej 57%Goals 2.5Poniżej57%1.75
Tak 35% · Nie 65%Obie drużyny strzeląNie65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapLevski Sofia winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win70%1.431.3669.8%+0.2 pp
Remis19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp
Lokomotiv Płowdiw win11%9.098.5011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia1.89

Gospodarze share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 43% · Poniżej 57%

Lokomotiv Płowdiw0.52

Goście share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 35% · Nie 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Płowdiw

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
11%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Płowdiw
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Płowdiw signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Płowdiw FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia wygrana 70%,Remis 19%,Lokomotiv Płowdiw wygrana 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Powyżej 2.5 43% · Current selection Poniżej