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BGR Bulgária - 1.ª Liga · Partida ·

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa69%
Empate20%
Vitória visitante12%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
69% / 20% / 12%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (11.5%)Dupla Chance1X88.5%1.13
Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%Goals 2.5Abaixo57%1.75
Sim 35% · Não 65%Ambas as equipes marcamNão65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapLevski Sofia winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
Empate20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia1.89

Mandante share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.52

Visitante share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 35% · Não 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
12%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia ganhou 69%,Empate 20%,Lokomotiv Plovdiv ganhou 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Acima 2.5 43% · Current selection Abaixo