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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Λέφσκι Σόφιας vs Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου69%
Ισοπαλία20%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου12%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Λέφσκι ΣόφιαςΛοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω57% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
69% / 20% / 12%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ win (11.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X88.5%1.13
Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%Goals 2.5Κάτω57%1.75
Ναι 35% · Όχι 65%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapΛέφσκι Σόφιας winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Λέφσκι Σόφιας win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
Ισοπαλία20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Λέφσκι Σόφιας1.89

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ0.52

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 35% · Όχι 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Λέφσκι Σόφιας

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
12%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
Λέφσκι ΣόφιαςΛοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Λέφσκι Σόφιας signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Λέφσκι Σόφιας vs Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Λέφσκι Σόφιας νίκη 69%,Ισοπαλία 20%,Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ νίκη 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Άνω 2.5 43% · Current selection Κάτω