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BGR 保加利亞甲級聯賽 · Final ·

索菲亞列夫斯基 vs 普夫迪火車頭

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score2–0預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝69%
20%
客勝12%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝69% selection probability
Projected score2–1索菲亞列夫斯基普夫迪火車頭
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.557% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
69% / 20% / 12%比賽結果主勝69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 普夫迪火車頭 win (11.5%)雙重機會1X88.5%1.13
大 43% · 小 57%Goals 2.557%1.75
是 35% · 否 65%雙方進球65%1.54
2.41 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.9 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gap索菲亞列夫斯基 winDifference+0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
索菲亞列夫斯基 win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
普夫迪火車頭 win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

索菲亞列夫斯基1.89

主隊 share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 43% · 57%

普夫迪火車頭0.52

客隊 share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 35% · 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

索菲亞列夫斯基

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

普夫迪火車頭

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
贏 probability excluding draw
12%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
索菲亞列夫斯基普夫迪火車頭
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01索菲亞列夫斯基 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02普夫迪火車頭 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

索菲亞列夫斯基 vs 普夫迪火車頭 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

索菲亞列夫斯基 69%, 20%,普夫迪火車頭 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · 大2.5 43% · Current selection