What is the Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 70%.

What are the Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia win 70%, draw 19%, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv win 11%.

How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

The displayed projection is 2.41 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 43%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

BGR Bulgaria First League · Fixture · Sat, Aug 8, 02:15

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score2–12.41 expected goals

Away form

Home win70%

Draw19%

Away win11%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 70% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win70% selection probability

Projected score2–1Levski Sofia — Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side

Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side

Expected corners8.9Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

70% / 19% / 11%Match resultHome win70%1.43

Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (11%)Double chance1X89%1.12

Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75

Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54

2.41 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapLevski Sofia winDifference+0.2 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Levski Sofia win70%1.431.3669.8%+0.2 pp

Draw19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp

Lokomotiv Plovdiv win11%9.098.5011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia1.89

Home share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.52

Away share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match

Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.40pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

70%

Win probability excluding draw

11%

Points from supplied form

1.89

Expected goals

0.52

Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions