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BGR Bulgaaria kõrgliiga · Final ·

Sofia Levski vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score2–0Ennustus 2–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit69%
Viik20%
Võõrsilvõit12%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sofia LevskiLokomotiv Plovdiv
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla57% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
69% / 20% / 12%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (11.5%)Topeltvõimalus1X88.5%1.13
Üle 43% · Alla 57%Goals 2.5Alla57%1.75
Jah 35% · Ei 65%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapSofia Levski winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sofia Levski win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
Viik20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sofia Levski1.89

Kodu share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 43% · Alla 57%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.52

Võõras share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 35% · Ei 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Sofia Levski

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Võit probability excluding draw
12%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
Sofia LevskiLokomotiv Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sofia Levski signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Sofia Levski vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sofia Levski võit 69%,Viik 20%,Lokomotiv Plovdiv võit 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Üle 2.5 43% · Current selection Alla