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BGR Bulgária - 1. liga · Mérkőzés ·

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem70%
Döntetlen19%
Vendég győzelem11%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem70% selection probability
Projected score2–1Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt57% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
70% / 19% / 11%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (11%)Dupla esély1X89%1.12
Felett 43% · Alatt 57%Goals 2.5Alatt57%1.75
Igen 35% · Nem 65%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapLevski Sofia winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win70%1.431.3669.8%+0.2 pp
Döntetlen19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win11%9.098.5011.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia1.89

Hazai share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 43% · Alatt 57%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.52

Vendég share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 35% · Nem 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontok13

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Nyert probability excluding draw
11%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia nyer 70%,Döntetlen 19%,Lokomotiv Plovdiv nyer 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · 2.5 felett 43% · Current selection Alatt