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BGR Bulharsko - 1. liga · Zápas ·

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích69%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostů12%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně57% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
69% / 20% / 12%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (11.5%)Dvojitá šance1X88.5%1.13
Více 43% · Méně 57%Goals 2.5Méně57%1.75
Ano 35% · Ne 65%Oba týmy skórujíNe65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapLevski Sofia winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
Remíza20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia1.89

Domácí share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 43% · Méně 57%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.52

Hosté share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 35% · Ne 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Výhra probability excluding draw
12%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia výhra 69%,Remíza 20%,Lokomotiv Plovdiv výhra 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Více 2.5 43% · Current selection Méně