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EST エストニア メスタリリーガ · Round 21 ·

JKナルヴァトランス vs JKノーメカリュ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利21%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利56%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利56% selection probability
Projected score1–2JKナルヴァトランスJKノーメカリュ
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
21% / 24% / 56%試合結果アウェイ勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JKナルヴァトランス win (20.7%)ダブルチャンスX279.3%1.26
オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%Goals 2.5アンダー57%1.75
はい 37% · いいえ 63%両チーム得点いいえ63%1.59
2.42 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
10.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapJKノーメカリュ winDifference+1.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JKナルヴァトランス win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
引き分け24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
JKノーメカリュ win56%1.791.6554.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JKナルヴァトランス0.57

ホーム share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 43% · アンダー 57%

JKノーメカリュ1.85

アウェイ share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 37% · いいえ 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

JKナルヴァトランス

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

JKノーメカリュ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
勝ち probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
JKナルヴァトランスJKノーメカリュ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JKナルヴァトランス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JKノーメカリュ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

JKナルヴァトランス vs JKノーメカリュ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JKナルヴァトランス 勝ち 21%,引き分け 24%,JKノーメカリュ 勝ち 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · オーバー 2.5 43% · Current selection アンダー