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EST Εσθονία - Meistriliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Τρανς Νάρβα vs Νόμε Κάλιου

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου21%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου56%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου56% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Τρανς ΝάρβαΝόμε Κάλιου
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω57% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
21% / 24% / 56%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Τρανς Νάρβα win (20.7%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX279.3%1.26
Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%Goals 2.5Κάτω57%1.75
Ναι 37% · Όχι 63%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι63%1.59
2.42 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
10.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapΝόμε Κάλιου winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Τρανς Νάρβα win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
Ισοπαλία24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Νόμε Κάλιου win56%1.791.6554.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Τρανς Νάρβα0.57

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 43% · Κάτω 57%

Νόμε Κάλιου1.85

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 37% · Όχι 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

JK Τρανς Νάρβα

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Νόμε Κάλιου

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
JK Τρανς ΝάρβαΝόμε Κάλιου
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Τρανς Νάρβα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Νόμε Κάλιου signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

JK Τρανς Νάρβα vs Νόμε Κάλιου FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Τρανς Νάρβα νίκη 21%,Ισοπαλία 24%,Νόμε Κάλιου νίκη 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Άνω 2.5 43% · Current selection Κάτω