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AjavööndAsia/Shanghai
Eesti
EST Eesti Meistriliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nõmme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit21%
Viik24%
Võõrsilvõit56%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit56% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaJK Nõmme Kalju
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla57% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
21% / 24% / 56%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (20.7%)TopeltvõimalusX279.3%1.26
Üle 43% · Alla 57%Goals 2.5Alla57%1.75
Jah 37% · Ei 63%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi63%1.59
2.42 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
10.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapJK Nõmme Kalju winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Trans Narva win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
Viik24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nõmme Kalju win56%1.791.6554.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.57

Kodu share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 43% · Alla 57%

JK Nõmme Kalju1.85

Võõras share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 37% · Ei 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

JK Nõmme Kalju

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punktid9

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Võit probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
JK Trans NarvaJK Nõmme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nõmme Kalju signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nõmme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva võit 21%,Viik 24%,JK Nõmme Kalju võit 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Üle 2.5 43% · Current selection Alla