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EST Estonia Meistriliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier21%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier56%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier56% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
21% / 24% / 56%KampresultatBorteseier56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (20.7%)Dobbel sjanseX279.3%1.26
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 37% · Nei 63%Begge lag scorerNei63%1.59
2.42 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapJK Nomme Kalju winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Trans Narva win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
Uavgjort24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win56%1.791.6554.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.57

Hjemme share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

JK Nomme Kalju1.85

Borte share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 37% · Nei 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poeng9

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva vunnet 21%,Uavgjort 24%,JK Nomme Kalju vunnet 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under