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EST Estonia - Meistriliiga · Round 22 ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.39 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde16%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți57%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți57% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
16% / 27% / 57%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (16.1%)Șansă dublăX283.9%1.19
Peste 43% · Sub 57%Goals 2.5Sub57%1.75
Da 36% · Nu 64%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu64%1.56
2.39 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
JK Trans Narva win16%6.25
Egal27%3.70
JK Nomme Kalju win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.56

Gazde share of expected goals 23.4%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 43% · Sub 57%

JK Nomme Kalju1.83

Oaspeți share of expected goals 76.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 36% · Nu 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Câștig probability excluding draw
57%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.56
Expected goals
1.83
JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva câștig 16%,Egal 27%,JK Nomme Kalju câștig 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Peste 2.5 43% · Current selection Sub