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Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
EST Естония - Майстрилига · Round 21 ·

Транс Нарва vs Номе Калиу

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина21%
Равен24%
Победа за госта56%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта56% selection probability
Projected score1–2Транс НарваНоме Калиу
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
21% / 24% / 56%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Транс Нарва win (20.7%)Двоен шансX279.3%1.26
Над 43% · Под 57%Goals 2.5Под57%1.75
Да 37% · Не 63%И двата отбора да отбележатНе63%1.59
2.42 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapНоме Калиу winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Транс Нарва win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
Равен24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Номе Калиу win56%1.791.6554.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Транс Нарва0.57

Домакин share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 43% · Под 57%

Номе Калиу1.85

Гост share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 37% · Не 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Транс Нарва

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Номе Калиу

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Точки9

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
Транс НарваНоме Калиу
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Транс Нарва signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Номе Калиу signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Транс Нарва vs Номе Калиу FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Транс Нарва печеливш 21%,Равен 24%,Номе Калиу печеливш 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Над 2.5 43% · Current selection Под