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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg21%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg56%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg56% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
21% / 24% / 56%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (20.7%)Doppelte ChanceX279.3%1.26
Über 43% · Unter 57%Goals 2.5Unter57%1.75
Ja 37% · Nein 63%Beide Teams treffenNein63%1.59
2.42 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapJK Nomme Kalju winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Trans Narva win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win56%1.791.6554.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.57

Heim share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 43% · Unter 57%

JK Nomme Kalju1.85

Auswärts share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 37% · Nein 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva Gewinn 21%,Unentschieden 24%,JK Nomme Kalju Gewinn 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Über 2.5 43% · Current selection Unter