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EST Estonie - Meistriliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile16%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur58%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur58% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
16% / 26% / 58%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (16%)Double chanceX284%1.19
Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%Goals 2.5Moins de57%1.75
Oui 37% · Non 63%Les deux équipes marquentNon63%1.59
2.42 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
JK Trans Narva win16%6.25
Nul26%3.85
JK Nomme Kalju win58%1.72

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.57

Domicile share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%

JK Nomme Kalju1.85

Extérieur share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 37% · Non 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Gagné probability excluding draw
58%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva victoire 16%,Nul 26%,JK Nomme Kalju victoire 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Plus de 2.5 43% · Current selection Moins de