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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Match ·

FF Jaro vs VPS Vaasa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile28%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur43%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur43% selection probability
Projected score1–1FF JaroVPS Vaasa
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
28% / 29% / 43%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FF Jaro win (28.1%)Double chanceX271.9%1.39
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
FF Jaro win28%3.57
Nul29%3.45
VPS Vaasa win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FF Jaro1.01

Domicile share of expected goals 40.7%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

VPS Vaasa1.47

Extérieur share of expected goals 59.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FF Jaro

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

VPS Vaasa

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gagné probability excluding draw
43%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.01
Expected goals
1.47
FF JaroVPS Vaasa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FF Jaro signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02VPS Vaasa signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FF Jaro vs VPS Vaasa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FF Jaro victoire 28%,Nul 29%,VPS Vaasa victoire 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de