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EST 愛沙尼亞甲級聯賽 · Round 22 ·

JK納爾瓦 vs 卡里魯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–22.39 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝16%
27%
客勝57%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝57% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK納爾瓦卡里魯
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.557% for the selected side
雙方進球64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
16% / 27% / 57%比賽結果客勝57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK納爾瓦 win (16.1%)雙重機會X283.9%1.19
大 43% · 小 57%Goals 2.557%1.75
是 36% · 否 64%雙方進球64%1.56
2.39 total expected goals正確比分1–2
10.8 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
JK納爾瓦 win16%6.25
27%3.70
卡里魯 win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK納爾瓦0.56

主隊 share of expected goals 23.4%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 43% · 57%

卡里魯1.83

客隊 share of expected goals 76.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 36% · 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

JK納爾瓦

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

卡里魯

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
贏 probability excluding draw
57%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.56
Expected goals
1.83
JK納爾瓦卡里魯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK納爾瓦 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02卡里魯 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

JK納爾瓦 vs 卡里魯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK納爾瓦 16%, 27%,卡里魯 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · 大2.5 43% · Current selection