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EST Estonia - Meistriliiga · Round 22 ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.39 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy16%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości57%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości57% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej57% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
16% / 27% / 57%Wynik meczuWygrana gości57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (16.1%)Podwójna szansaX283.9%1.19
Powyżej 43% · Poniżej 57%Goals 2.5Poniżej57%1.75
Tak 36% · Nie 64%Obie drużyny strzeląNie64%1.56
2.39 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
JK Trans Narva win16%6.25
Remis27%3.70
JK Nomme Kalju win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.56

Gospodarze share of expected goals 23.4%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 43% · Poniżej 57%

JK Nomme Kalju1.83

Goście share of expected goals 76.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 36% · Nie 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
57%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.56
Expected goals
1.83
JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva wygrana 16%,Remis 27%,JK Nomme Kalju wygrana 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Powyżej 2.5 43% · Current selection Poniżej