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EST Эстония - Мейстрилига · Round 21 ·

ФК Нарва-Транс vs ФК Нымме Калью

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев21%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей56%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей56% selection probability
Projected score1–2ФК Нарва-ТрансФК Нымме Калью
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
21% / 24% / 56%Исход матчаПобеда гостей56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Нарва-Транс win (20.7%)Двойной шансX279.3%1.26
Больше 43% · Меньше 57%Goals 2.5Меньше57%1.75
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
2.42 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapФК Нымме Калью winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Нарва-Транс win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
ФК Нымме Калью win56%1.791.6554.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Нарва-Транс0.57

Хозяева share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 43% · Меньше 57%

ФК Нымме Калью1.85

Гости share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Нарва-Транс

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Нымме Калью

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
ФК Нарва-ТрансФК Нымме Калью
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Нарва-Транс signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Нымме Калью signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ФК Нарва-Транс vs ФК Нымме Калью FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Нарва-Транс выигрыш 21%,Ничья 24%,ФК Нымме Калью выигрыш 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · ТБ 2.5 43% · Current selection Меньше