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EST Estonia Meistriliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.42 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır21%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır56%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır56% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt57% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
21% / 24% / 56%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Trans Narva win (20.7%)Çifte ŞansX279.3%1.26
Üst 43% · Alt 57%Goals 2.5Alt57%1.75
Evet 37% · Hayır 63%Karşılıklı gol varHayır63%1.59
2.42 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.8 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapJK Nomme Kalju winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Trans Narva win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp
Beraberlik24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
JK Nomme Kalju win56%1.791.6554.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.57

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 23.6%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 43% · Alt 57%

JK Nomme Kalju1.85

Deplasman share of expected goals 76.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 37% · Hayır 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.57
Expected goals
1.85
JK Trans NarvaJK Nomme Kalju
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs JK Nomme Kalju FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva kazanç 21%,Beraberlik 24%,JK Nomme Kalju kazanç 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · 2.5 Üst 43% · Current selection Alt