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IK Start vs Fredrikstad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.54 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg35%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg35%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg35% selection probability
Projected score1–1IK StartFredrikstad
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 29% / 35%SpielergebnisHeimsieg35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Doppelte Chance1270.7%1.41
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
IK Start win35%2.86
Unentschieden29%3.45
Fredrikstad win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IK Start1.27

Heim share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Fredrikstad1.27

Auswärts share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

IK Start

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Fredrikstad

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.27
Expected goals
1.27
IK StartFredrikstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IK Start signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fredrikstad signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

IK Start vs Fredrikstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IK Start Gewinn 35%,Unentschieden 29%,Fredrikstad Gewinn 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter