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Viking FK vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.65 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg68%
Unentschieden19%
Auswärtssieg13%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg68% selection probability
Projected score3–1Viking FKSarpsborg
Expected goals3.65Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
68% / 19% / 13%SpielergebnisHeimsieg68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (12.6%)Doppelte Chance1X87.4%1.14
Über 71% · Unter 29%Goals 2.5Über71%1.41
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
3.65 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Viking FK win68%1.47
Unentschieden19%5.26
Sarpsborg win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking FK2.89

Heim share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.65Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 71% · Unter 29%

Sarpsborg0.76

Auswärts share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Viking FK

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.89
Expected goals
0.76
Viking FKSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking FK signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Viking FK vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking FK Gewinn 68%,Unentschieden 19%,Sarpsborg Gewinn 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Über 2.5 71% · Current selection Über