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Viking vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–13.65 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa68%
Pareggio19%
Vittoria ospite13%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa68% selection probability
Projected score3–1VikingSarpsborg
Expected goals3.65Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
68% / 19% / 13%Esito partitaVittoria casa68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (12.6%)Doppia Chance1X87.4%1.14
Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%Goals 2.5Sopra71%1.41
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
3.65 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Viking win68%1.47
Pareggio19%5.26
Sarpsborg win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking2.89

Casa share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.65Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%

Sarpsborg0.76

Trasferta share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Viking

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vinta probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.89
Expected goals
0.76
VikingSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Viking vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking vinta 68%,Pareggio 19%,Sarpsborg vinta 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Sopra 2.5 71% · Current selection Sopra