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Viking FK vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score3–13.65 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit68%
Viik19%
Võõrsilvõit13%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit68% selection probability
Projected score3–1Viking FKSarpsborg
Expected goals3.65Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle71% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
68% / 19% / 13%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (12.6%)Topeltvõimalus1X87.4%1.14
Üle 71% · Alla 29%Goals 2.5Üle71%1.41
Jah 51% · Ei 49%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah51%1.96
3.65 total expected goalsTäpne skoor3–1
10.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Viking FK win68%1.47
Viik19%5.26
Sarpsborg win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking FK2.89

Kodu share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.65Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 71% · Alla 29%

Sarpsborg0.76

Võõras share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJah 51% · Ei 49%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Viking FK

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Võit probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.89
Expected goals
0.76
Viking FKSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking FK signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Viking FK vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking FK võit 68%,Viik 19%,Sarpsborg võit 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Üle 2.5 71% · Current selection Üle