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NOR Norway Eliteserien · Mérkőzés ·

Viking FK vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score3–13.65 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem68%
Döntetlen19%
Vendég győzelem13%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem68% selection probability
Projected score3–1Viking FKSarpsborg
Expected goals3.65Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett71% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
68% / 19% / 13%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (12.6%)Dupla esély1X87.4%1.14
Felett 71% · Alatt 29%Goals 2.5Felett71%1.41
Igen 51% · Nem 49%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51%1.96
3.65 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–1
10.7 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Viking FK win68%1.47
Döntetlen19%5.26
Sarpsborg win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking FK2.89

Hazai share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.65Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 71% · Alatt 29%

Sarpsborg0.76

Vendég share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitIgen 51% · Nem 49%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Viking FK

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Nyert probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.89
Expected goals
0.76
Viking FKSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking FK signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Viking FK vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking FK nyer 68%,Döntetlen 19%,Sarpsborg nyer 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · 2.5 felett 71% · Current selection Felett