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Viking FK vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.67 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger68%
Oavgjort19%
Bortaseger13%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger68% selection probability
Projected score3–1Viking FKSarpsborg
Expected goals3.67Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över71% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
68% / 19% / 13%MatchresultatHemmaseger68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (12.8%)Dubbelchans1X87.2%1.15
Över 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Över71%1.41
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
3.67 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Viking FK win68%1.47
Oavgjort19%5.26
Sarpsborg win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking FK2.90

Hemma share of expected goals 79%

Total expected goals3.67Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 71% · Under 29%

Sarpsborg0.77

Borta share of expected goals 21%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Viking FK

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.90
Expected goals
0.77
Viking FKSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking FK signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Viking FK vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking FK vunnen 68%,Oavgjort 19%,Sarpsborg vunnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Över 2.5 71% · Current selection Över