MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NOR Norway Eliteserien · Wedstrijd ·

Viking FK vs Sarpsborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.65 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst68%
Gelijkspel19%
Uitwinst13%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst68% selection probability
Projected score3–1Viking FKSarpsborg
Expected goals3.65Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
68% / 19% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarpsborg win (12.6%)Dubbele Kans1X87.4%1.14
Boven 71% · Onder 29%Goals 2.5Boven71%1.41
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
3.65 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Viking FK win68%1.47
Gelijkspel19%5.26
Sarpsborg win13%7.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viking FK2.89

Thuis share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.65Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 71% · Onder 29%

Sarpsborg0.76

Uit share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Viking FK

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sarpsborg

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.89
Expected goals
0.76
Viking FKSarpsborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viking FK signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarpsborg signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Viking FK vs Sarpsborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viking FK gewonnen 68%,Gelijkspel 19%,Sarpsborg gewonnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Boven 2.5 71% · Current selection Boven