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NOR Norway Eliteserien · Kamp ·

IK Start vs Fredrikstad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr35%
Uafgjort29%
Udesejr35%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr35% selection probability
Projected score1–1IK StartFredrikstad
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
35% / 29% / 35%KampresultatHjemmesejr35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Dobbeltchance1270.6%1.42
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Begge hold scorerJa52%1.92
2.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
IK Start win35%2.86
Uafgjort29%3.45
Fredrikstad win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IK Start1.27

Hjemme share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Fredrikstad1.26

Ude share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

IK Start

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Fredrikstad

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vundet probability excluding draw
35%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.27
Expected goals
1.26
IK StartFredrikstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IK Start signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fredrikstad signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

IK Start vs Fredrikstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IK Start vundet 35%,Uafgjort 29%,Fredrikstad vundet 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under