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Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr47%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr25%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr47% selection probability
Projected score2–1LillestrømRosenborg
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
47% / 28% / 25%KampresultatHjemmesejr47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rosenborg win (25.1%)Dobbeltchance1X74.9%1.34
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Begge hold scorerJa50%2.00
2.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lillestrøm win47%2.13
Uafgjort28%3.57
Rosenborg win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lillestrøm1.66

Hjemme share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Rosenborg0.96

Ude share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lillestrøm

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Rosenborg

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vundet probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
0.96
LillestrømRosenborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lillestrøm signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rosenborg signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lillestrøm vundet 47%,Uafgjort 28%,Rosenborg vundet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under