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NOR Norway Eliteserien · Wedstrijd ·

Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst25%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score2–1LillestrømRosenborg
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 28% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rosenborg win (25.1%)Dubbele Kans1X74.9%1.34
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.62 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Lillestrøm win47%2.13
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Rosenborg win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lillestrøm1.66

Thuis share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%

Rosenborg0.96

Uit share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lillestrøm

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Rosenborg

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
0.96
LillestrømRosenborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lillestrøm signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rosenborg signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lillestrøm gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 28%,Rosenborg gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder