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HamKam vs Ålesund

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.90 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr22%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score3–1HamKamÅlesund
Expected goals3.90Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 23% / 22%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ålesund win (22.1%)Dobbeltchance1X77.9%1.28
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Ja 67% · Nej 33%Begge hold scorerJa67%1.49
3.90 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
11.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
HamKam win55%1.82
Uafgjort23%4.35
Ålesund win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HamKam2.60

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.90Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

Ålesund1.30

Ude share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 67% · Nej 33%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

HamKam

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Ålesund

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
5
2.60
Expected goals
1.30
HamKamÅlesund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HamKam signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ålesund signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HamKam vs Ålesund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HamKam vundet 55%,Uafgjort 23%,Ålesund vundet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.90 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over