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Χαμ-Καμ vs Άαλεσουντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score3–13.90 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου55%
Ισοπαλία23%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου22%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου55% selection probability
Projected score3–1Χαμ-ΚαμΆαλεσουντ
Expected goals3.90Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω75% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
55% / 23% / 22%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Άαλεσουντ win (22.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X77.9%1.28
Άνω 75% · Κάτω 25%Goals 2.5Άνω75%1.33
Ναι 67% · Όχι 33%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι67%1.49
3.90 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–1
11.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Χαμ-Καμ win55%1.82
Ισοπαλία23%4.35
Άαλεσουντ win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Χαμ-Καμ2.60

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.90Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 75% · Κάτω 25%

Άαλεσουντ1.30

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitΝαι 67% · Όχι 33%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Χαμ-Καμ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Άαλεσουντ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
5
2.60
Expected goals
1.30
Χαμ-ΚαμΆαλεσουντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Χαμ-Καμ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Άαλεσουντ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Χαμ-Καμ vs Άαλεσουντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Χαμ-Καμ νίκη 55%,Ισοπαλία 23%,Άαλεσουντ νίκη 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.90 · Άνω 2.5 75% · Current selection Άνω