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HamKam vs Aalesund

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.90 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile55%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur22%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile55% selection probability
Projected score3–1HamKamAalesund
Expected goals3.90Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de75% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
55% / 23% / 22%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aalesund win (22.1%)Double chance1X77.9%1.28
Plus de 75% · Moins de 25%Goals 2.5Plus de75%1.33
Oui 67% · Non 33%Les deux équipes marquentOui67%1.49
3.90 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
11.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
HamKam win55%1.82
Nul23%4.35
Aalesund win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HamKam2.60

Domicile share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.90Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 75% · Moins de 25%

Aalesund1.30

Extérieur share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 67% · Non 33%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

HamKam

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Aalesund

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gagné probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
5
2.60
Expected goals
1.30
HamKamAalesund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HamKam signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aalesund signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HamKam vs Aalesund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HamKam victoire 55%,Nul 23%,Aalesund victoire 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.90 · Plus de 2.5 75% · Current selection Plus de