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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

ドゥナフルセ vs アルダ・クルジャリ

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利30%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–1ドゥナフルセアルダ・クルジャリ
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 28% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)ダブルチャンス1272%1.39
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.32 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ドゥナフルセ win42%2.38
引き分け28%3.57
アルダ・クルジャリ win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ドゥナフルセ1.27

ホーム share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

アルダ・クルジャリ1.05

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ドゥナフルセ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルダ・クルジャリ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.27
Expected goals
1.05
ドゥナフルセアルダ・クルジャリ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ドゥナフルセ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルダ・クルジャリ signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ドゥナフルセ vs アルダ・クルジャリ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ドゥナフルセ 勝ち 42%,引き分け 28%,アルダ・クルジャリ 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー