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BGR Bulharsko - Prvá liga · Zápas ·

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich42%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí30%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácichTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej59% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
42% / 28% / 30%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dvojitá šanca1272%1.39
Viac 41% · Menej 59%Goals 2.5Menej59%1.69
Áno 47% · Nie 53%Oba tímy skórujúNie53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Dunav Ruse win42%2.38
Remíza28%3.57
Arda Kardzhali win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunav Ruse1.27

Domáci share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 41% · Menej 59%

Arda Kardzhali1.05

Hostia share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 47% · Nie 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Arda Kardzhali

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalHostia matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Výhra probability excluding draw
30%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.27
Expected goals
1.05
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunav Ruse signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arda Kardzhali signalHostia matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunav Ruse výhra 42%,Remíza 28%,Arda Kardzhali výhra 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Viac 2.5 41% · Current selection Menej