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BGR Bulgaria - Prima Liga · Meci ·

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde42%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub59% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
42% / 28% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Șansă dublă1272%1.39
Peste 41% · Sub 59%Goals 2.5Sub59%1.69
Da 47% · Nu 53%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Dunav Ruse win42%2.38
Egal28%3.57
Arda Kardzhali win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunav Ruse1.27

Gazde share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 41% · Sub 59%

Arda Kardzhali1.05

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 47% · Nu 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Arda Kardzhali

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.27
Expected goals
1.05
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunav Ruse signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arda Kardzhali signalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunav Ruse câștig 42%,Egal 28%,Arda Kardzhali câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Peste 2.5 41% · Current selection Sub