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BRA Brazil Serie B · Мач ·

Ботафого СП vs America MG

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина50%
Равен30%
Победа за госта20%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ботафого СПAmerica MG
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под64% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
50% / 30% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes America MG win (19.7%)Двоен шанс1X80.3%1.25
Над 36% · Под 64%Goals 2.5Под64%1.56
Да 40% · Не 60%И двата отбора да отбележатНе60%1.67
2.12 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
11.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapAmerica MG winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ботафого СП win50%2.001.8550.3%-0.3 pp
Равен30%3.333.1030%0.0 pp
America MG win20%5.004.7519.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ботафого СП1.35

Домакин share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 36% · Под 64%

America MG0.77

Гост share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Не 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ботафого СП

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

America MG

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
0.77
Ботафого СПAmerica MG
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ботафого СП signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02America MG signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ботафого СП vs America MG FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ботафого СП печеливш 50%,Равен 30%,America MG печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Над 2.5 36% · Current selection Под