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BRA ブラジル セリエB · Round 20 ·

ヴィラノヴァ vs スポルチレシフェ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–1ヴィラノヴァスポルチレシフェ
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 30% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes スポルチレシフェ win (28.2%)ダブルチャンス1X71.8%1.39
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 51% · いいえ 49%両チーム得点はい51%1.96
2.51 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ヴィラノヴァ win42%2.382.2541.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
スポルチレシフェ win28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ヴィラノヴァ1.31

ホーム share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

スポルチレシフェ1.20

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 51% · いいえ 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ヴィラノヴァ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

スポルチレシフェ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn4Losses1ポイント4

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.20
ヴィラノヴァスポルチレシフェ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ヴィラノヴァ signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02スポルチレシフェ signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ヴィラノヴァ vs スポルチレシフェ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ヴィラノヴァ 勝ち 42%,引き分け 30%,スポルチレシフェ 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー