Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 30% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Recife win (28.2%)Double chance1X71.8%1.39
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vila Nova win42%2.382.2541.9%+0.1 pp
Nul30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
Sport Recife win28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 52.2%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%
Extérieur share of expected goals 47.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchVila Nova
LWLLW
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchSport Recife
DDDDL
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4
SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%6
Points from supplied form
41.31
Expected goals
1.20Vila NovaSport Recife
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Vila Nova vs Sport Recife FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Vila Nova victoire 42%，Nul 30%，Sport Recife victoire 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de。