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BRA Brazil Serie B · Round 20 ·

Βίλα Νόβα vs Σπορτ Ρεσίφε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου42%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου28%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Βίλα ΝόβαΣπορτ Ρεσίφε
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
42% / 30% / 28%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σπορτ Ρεσίφε win (28.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X71.8%1.39
Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%Goals 2.5Κάτω54%1.85
Ναι 51% · Όχι 49%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Βίλα Νόβα win42%2.382.2541.9%+0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp
Σπορτ Ρεσίφε win28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Βίλα Νόβα1.31

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%

Σπορτ Ρεσίφε1.20

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 51% · Όχι 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Βίλα Νόβα

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σπορτ Ρεσίφε

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Πόντοι4

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.20
Βίλα ΝόβαΣπορτ Ρεσίφε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Βίλα Νόβα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σπορτ Ρεσίφε signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Βίλα Νόβα vs Σπορτ Ρεσίφε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Βίλα Νόβα νίκη 42%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Σπορτ Ρεσίφε νίκη 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Άνω 2.5 46% · Current selection Κάτω