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BRA Brazil Serie B · Round 20 ·

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy37%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości34%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Vila NovaSport Recife
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
37% / 29% / 34%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Podwójna szansa1270.5%1.42
Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%Goals 2.5Poniżej54%1.85
Tak 51% · Nie 49%Obie drużyny strzeląTak51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Vila Nova win37%2.70
Remis29%3.45
Sport Recife win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vila Nova1.31

Gospodarze share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%

Sport Recife1.20

Goście share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Vila Nova

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sport Recife

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkty4

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.20
Vila NovaSport Recife
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vila Nova signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sport Recife signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vila Nova wygrana 37%,Remis 29%,Sport Recife wygrana 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Powyżej 2.5 46% · Current selection Poniżej