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BRA Brazil Serie B · Partita ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.65 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa27%
Pareggio35%
Vittoria ospite39%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Expected goals1.65Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto77% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
27% / 35% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (26.6%)Doppia ChanceX273.4%1.36
Sopra 23% · Sotto 77%Goals 2.5Sotto77%1.30
Sì 31% · No 69%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo69%1.45
1.65 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Athletic Club MG win27%3.70
Pareggio35%2.86
Criciuma win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.67

Casa share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals1.65Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 23% · Sotto 77%

Criciuma0.98

Trasferta share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Criciuma

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.67
Expected goals
0.98
Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG vinta 27%,Pareggio 35%,Criciuma vinta 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.65 · Sopra 2.5 23% · Current selection Sotto