Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 35% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (26.7%)Double chanceX273.3%1.36
Over 23% · Under 77%Goals 2.5Under77%1.30
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.65 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Athletic Club MG win27%3.70
Draw35%2.86
Criciuma win39%2.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 40.6%
Total expected goals1.65Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 23% · Under 77%
Away share of expected goals 59.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAthletic Club MG
DWDDL
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchCriciuma
DWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
27%
Win probability excluding draw
39%6
Points from supplied form
130.67
Expected goals
0.98Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 35%.
Match questions
Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Athletic Club MG win 27%，Draw 35%，Criciuma win 39%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.65 · Over 2.5 23% · Current selection Under。