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AjavööndAsia/Shanghai
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BRA Brazil Serie B · Mäng ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciúma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–11.65 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit27%
Viik35%
Võõrsilvõit39%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciúma
Expected goals1.65Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla77% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
27% / 35% / 39%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (26.6%)TopeltvõimalusX273.4%1.36
Üle 23% · Alla 77%Goals 2.5Alla77%1.30
Jah 31% · Ei 69%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi69%1.45
1.65 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
10.3 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Athletic Club MG win27%3.70
Viik35%2.86
Criciúma win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.67

Kodu share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals1.65Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 23% · Alla 77%

Criciúma0.98

Võõras share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 31% · Ei 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punktid6

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Criciúma

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Võit probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.67
Expected goals
0.98
Athletic Club MGCriciúma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciúma signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciúma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG võit 27%,Viik 35%,Criciúma võit 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.65 · Üle 2.5 23% · Current selection Alla