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BRA Brazil Serie B · Match ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.65 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger27%
Oavgjort35%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Expected goals1.65Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under77% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
27% / 35% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (26.7%)DubbelchansX273.3%1.36
Över 23% · Under 77%Goals 2.5Under77%1.30
Ja 31% · Nej 69%Båda lagen gör målNej69%1.45
1.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Athletic Club MG win27%3.70
Oavgjort35%2.86
Criciuma win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.67

Hemma share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals1.65Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 23% · Under 77%

Criciuma0.98

Borta share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nej 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Criciuma

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.67
Expected goals
0.98
Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG vunnen 27%,Oavgjort 35%,Criciuma vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.65 · Över 2.5 23% · Current selection Under