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BRA Brazil Serie B · Trận đấu ·

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.64 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng27%
Hòa35%
Đội khách thắng39%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Expected goals1.64Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu77% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
27% / 35% / 39%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club MG win (26.6%)Cơ hội képX273.4%1.36
Tài 23% · Xỉu 77%Goals 2.5Xỉu77%1.30
Có 31% · Không 69%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông69%1.45
1.64 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
10.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Athletic Club MG win27%3.70
Hòa35%2.86
Criciuma win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Athletic Club MG0.66

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 40.2%

Total expected goals1.64Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 23% · Xỉu 77%

Criciuma0.98

Khách share of expected goals 59.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · Không 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Athletic Club MG

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Criciuma

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Thắng probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
13
0.66
Expected goals
0.98
Athletic Club MGCriciuma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Athletic Club MG signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Criciuma signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Athletic Club MG vs Criciuma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Athletic Club MG thắng 27%,Hòa 35%,Criciuma thắng 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.64 · Tài 2.5 23% · Current selection Xỉu