MatchFormula Trova una partita
Menu
UTC+8
Fuso orarioAsia/Shanghai
Italiano
ESP Spagna - La Liga · Partita ·

Barcellona vs Athletic Bilbao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa74%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite10%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa74% selection probability
Projected score4–1BarcellonaAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals4.33Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra81% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
74% / 16% / 10%Esito partitaVittoria casa74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Bilbao win (10.1%)Doppia Chance1X89.9%1.11
Sopra 81% · Sotto 19%Goals 2.5Sopra81%1.23
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsRisultato esatto4–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Barcellona win74%1.35
Pareggio16%6.25
Athletic Bilbao win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcellona3.52

Casa share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 81% · Sotto 19%

Athletic Bilbao0.81

Trasferta share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Barcellona

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Vinta probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
BarcellonaAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcellona signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Barcellona vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcellona vinta 74%,Pareggio 16%,Athletic Bilbao vinta 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · Sopra 2.5 81% · Current selection Sopra