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Barcelona vs Athletic Club

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score4–14.33 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier74%
Uavgjort16%
Borteseier10%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier74% selection probability
Projected score4–1BarcelonaAthletic Club
Expected goals4.33Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over81% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
74% / 16% / 10%KampresultatHjemmeseier74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club win (10.1%)Dobbel sjanse1X89.9%1.11
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Ja 54% · Nei 46%Begge lag scorerJa54%1.85
4.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Barcelona win74%1.35
Uavgjort16%6.25
Athletic Club win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barcelona3.52

Hjemme share of expected goals 81.3%

Total expected goals4.33Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%

Athletic Club0.81

Borte share of expected goals 18.7%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nei 46%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Barcelona

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Athletic Club

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
3.52
Expected goals
0.81
BarcelonaAthletic Club
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barcelona signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Club signalBorte matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Barcelona vs Athletic Club FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barcelona vunnet 74%,Uavgjort 16%,Athletic Club vunnet 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.33 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over